Market Commentary

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Where Did the Quiet Market Go?

The Bottom Line The first quarter ushered in volatility which we haven’t seen in several years. After a strong 7% rally in early January the market declined almost 12% in only 10 days! Since then the market has been locked in a wildly volatile range. The net result was a mild decline in the [...]

By | April 17th, 2018|Market Commentary|0 Comments

What a Year! Can it Continue?

The Bottom Line The market closed out the year with results that surprised even the most ardent bull – up +21.8%. Even more impressive was the complete lack of volatility on the way up. The market did not have any meaningful pullbacks – we only had a couple of -2% pullbacks. It’s been pretty [...]

By | January 8th, 2018|Market Commentary|0 Comments

Is the End of the Bull Market in Sight?

The Bottom Line The rally in stocks continued during the 3rd quarter, as the market tacked on another 4.5%, bringing the gain in the S&P 500 to 14.2% so far this year. While generally favorable economic fundamentals have been the engine behind these returns, there have been many issues that would be logical candidates for [...]

By | October 12th, 2017|Market Commentary|0 Comments

Can the Market Hold It’s Gains for the Year?

The Bottom Line The equity market continues to grind out further gains, advancing a little over 3% during the second quarter, leaving it around 9% as of the end of June. Bond yields also declined slightly during the quarter, but have moved sharply higher over the last week or so, leaving them very close to [...]

By | July 13th, 2017|Market Commentary|0 Comments

2016 – A Year in Review

Overview 2016 was a good year to be invested in stocks - although it did not look that way on Feb. 11, when the S&P 500 was already down 11% for the year. Another reminder that investor sentiment can change quickly! To the surprise of many, the election of Donald Trump was greeted with cheers [...]

By | January 18th, 2017|Market Commentary|0 Comments

What Does All This Volatility Mean?

Overview Since the beginning of 2012, we have maintained a positive view for the equity market. In our view, the economy has been “good enough” to generate modest earnings growth. In a low interest rate environment, with an accommodative Fed, we felt this should result in a good market environment for investors, which it most [...]

By | July 27th, 2016|Market Commentary|0 Comments

Is the Market Stuck in a Range?

In our Q1 Market Outlook we outlined a detailed thesis for periods of potential weakness in the markets which ultimately should remain locked in a trading range for some period of time. The first quarter certainly delivered that exact environment. Almost immediately at the start of the year the market plunged on the heels of [...]

By | April 25th, 2016|Market Commentary|0 Comments

Is the Bull Market Over?

Since early 2012 our views for the equity market and US economy have been largely positive. Our economic outlook has consistently been that while the recovery has been underwhelming, it has been “good enough”. We have highlighted that the Fed has been our friend with a very accommodative monetary policy. Additionally, after the bear market [...]

By | January 13th, 2016|Market Commentary|0 Comments

How Often Does the Market Pullback?

Given the latest pullback in the market, we wanted to remind investors the importance of staying the course. The S&P 500 has declined about 11% from its closing high earlier this year. Is this abnormal? Should you be concerned? Should you do something different? Capital Research & Management Co. analyzed the U.S. stock market for [...]

By | September 29th, 2015|Market Commentary|0 Comments